MSV Duisburg host Havelse in the 3. Liga on Sunday 1 March, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena. MSV Duisburg are 2nd with 29 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Havelse sit 20th on 10 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.3 for MSV Duisburg and 0.9 for Havelse. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was MSV Duisburg to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: MSV Duisburg 2–0 Havelse. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
MSV Duisburg69%fair 1.45 · @1.50
Draw18%fair 5.53 · @4.33
Havelse13%fair 7.62 · @5.60
3.24Expected goals
2.32MSV Duisburg xG
0.91Havelse xG
61%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
1–18%
3–08%
3–18%
From our goals model: MSV Duisburg 2.3 – 0.9 Havelse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
MSV Duisburg to win✗
69%
1.45
1.50
Double chance
MSV Duisburg or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.63
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.55
Half-time result
MSV Duisburg ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT MSV Duisburg / FT MSV Duisburg✗
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.44
–
Form
MSV Duisburg – last 1
W
21 Feb
vs FC Schweinfurt 05
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Havelse – last 1
L
21 Feb
@ FC Ingolstadt 04
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between MSV Duisburg and Havelse.
What is the prediction for MSV Duisburg vs Havelse?
Our pick is MSV Duisburg to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win MSV Duisburg vs Havelse?
On our numbers MSV Duisburg have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Havelse 13%.
How many goals will there be in MSV Duisburg vs Havelse?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MSV Duisburg vs Havelse?
Our predicted score is MSV Duisburg 2–0 Havelse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is MSV Duisburg vs Havelse?
MSV Duisburg vs Havelse (3. Liga) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FC Schweinfurt 052