Erzgebirge Aue vs Energie Cottbus prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Energie Cottbus to win @ 2.20 – our chance 49% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEnergie Cottbus to win ✓49% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.67
Erzgebirge Aue vs Energie Cottbus preview and prediction
The match
Energie Cottbus travel to Erzgebirgsstadion in the 3. Liga on Sunday 22 February (16:30 WAT) to face Erzgebirge Aue.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.3 for Erzgebirge Aue and 1.8 for Energie Cottbus. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Erzgebirge Aue 30%, draw 21%, Energie Cottbus 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.48.
Value angle: Energie Cottbus to win at 2.20 – 49% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Erzgebirge Aue 1–1 Energie Cottbus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Erzgebirge Aue30%fair 3.28 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.55
Energie Cottbus49%fair 2.04 · @2.20
3.10Expected goals
1.34Erzgebirge Aue xG
1.77Energie Cottbus xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Erzgebirge Aue 1.3 – 1.8 Energie Cottbus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Energie Cottbus to win✓
49%
2.04
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.53
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Energie Cottbus / FT Energie Cottbus✗
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.67
–
Form
Erzgebirge Aue – last 1
D
13 Feb
@ FC Viktoria Köln
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Energie Cottbus – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs Waldhof Mannheim
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Erzgebirge Aue and Energie Cottbus.
What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue vs Energie Cottbus?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Erzgebirge Aue vs Energie Cottbus?
On our numbers Erzgebirge Aue have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Energie Cottbus 49%.
How many goals will there be in Erzgebirge Aue vs Energie Cottbus?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Erzgebirge Aue vs Energie Cottbus?
Our predicted score is Erzgebirge Aue 1–1 Energie Cottbus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Erzgebirge Aue vs Energie Cottbus?
Erzgebirge Aue vs Energie Cottbus (3. Liga) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Erzgebirgsstadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
TSV 1860 München1
Hansa Rostock0
Hoffenheim II1
FC Viktoria Köln3