Value bet: Ajka to win @ 2.70 – our chance 43% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAjka to win43% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014% · fair 6.95
Ajka vs Szeged 2011 preview and prediction
The match
Szeged 2011 travel to Ajkai Városi Sportcentrum in the NB II on Sunday 10 May (16:00 WAT) to face Ajka. Ajka are 7th with 19 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Szeged 2011 sit 10th on 16 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ajka's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Kozarmisleny FC 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Szeged 2011's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Fehérvár FC 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ajka arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Ajka and 0.9 for Szeged 2011. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ajka 43%, draw 25%, Szeged 2011 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Ajka to win at 2.70 – 43% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.85, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ajka 1–1 Szeged 2011. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ajka43%fair 2.34 · @2.70
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @2.62
Szeged 201132%fair 3.12 · @2.62
2.07Expected goals
1.14Ajka xG
0.93Szeged 2011 xG
54%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Ajka 1.1 – 0.9 Szeged 2011 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ajka to win
43%
2.34
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.34
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.85
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
84%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ajka / FT Ajka
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
14%
6.95
–
Form
Ajka – last 6
DWWLWL
19 Apr
@ Kozarmisleny FC
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Karcag SE
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs Bekescsaba 1912
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Csakvar
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Szentlőrinc SE
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Budapest Honved
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Szeged 2011 – last 6
LLWLLD
19 Apr
vs Fehérvár FC
0–3
L
5 Apr
vs Vasas
0–4
L
22 Mar
@ Szentlőrinc SE
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Mezokovesd-zsory
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ Kozarmisleny FC
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Tiszakecske FC
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ajka and Szeged 2011.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Ajka vs Szeged 2011?
On our numbers Ajka have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Szeged 2011 32%.
How many goals will there be in Ajka vs Szeged 2011?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ajka vs Szeged 2011?
Our predicted score is Ajka 1–1 Szeged 2011, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Ajka vs Szeged 2011?
Ajka vs Szeged 2011 (NB II) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Ajkai Városi Sportcentrum.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Budapest Honved3
Vasas1
Budafoki LC1
Bekescsaba 1912