Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Ajka to win @ 2.88 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAjka to win ✓39% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓12% · fair 8.45
Karcag SE vs Ajka preview and prediction
The match
The NB II sees Karcag SE take on Ajka on Sunday 5 April, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Ligeti úti Sporttelep. Karcag SE are 15th with 11 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Ajka sit 7th on 19 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Karcag SE's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Budapest Honved 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game.
Ajka's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Bekescsaba 1912 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ajka arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Karcag SE and 1.2 for Ajka. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Karcag SE 37%, draw 24%, Ajka 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Ajka to win at 2.88 – 39% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Karcag SE 1–1 Ajka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Karcag SE37%fair 2.72 · @2.35
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.10
Ajka39%fair 2.57 · @2.88
2.29Expected goals
1.12Karcag SE xG
1.17Ajka xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Karcag SE 1.1 – 1.2 Ajka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ajka to win✓
39%
2.57
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ajka / FT Ajka✗
21%
4.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
12%
8.45
–
Form
Karcag SE – last 5
LLLLW
22 Mar
vs Budapest Honved
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Fehérvár FC
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs BVSC
1–3
L
22 Feb
@ Vasas
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Szeged 2011
1–0
W
0.4Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Ajka – last 5
WLWLL
22 Mar
vs Bekescsaba 1912
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Csakvar
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Szentlőrinc SE
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Budapest Honved
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Budafoki LC
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karcag SE and Ajka.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Karcag SE vs Ajka?
On our numbers Karcag SE have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ajka 39%.
How many goals will there be in Karcag SE vs Ajka?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karcag SE vs Ajka?
Our predicted score is Karcag SE 1–1 Ajka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Karcag SE vs Ajka?
Karcag SE vs Ajka (NB II) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ligeti úti Sporttelep.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Budafoki LC0
Vasas4
Bekescsaba 19122