US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Progres Niederkorn or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Progres Niederkorn to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultProgres Niederkorn to win ✓59% · @1.91
Double chanceProgres Niederkorn or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.60
US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn preview and prediction
The match
US Hostert host Progres Niederkorn in the National Division on Sunday 15 March, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stade Jos Becker. US Hostert are 11th with 11 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Progres Niederkorn sit 6th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
US Hostert's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to FC Differdange 03 2–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Progres Niederkorn's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to UNA Strassen 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for US Hostert and 1.8 for Progres Niederkorn. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: US Hostert 20%, draw 21%, Progres Niederkorn 59%.
Safer route: Progres Niederkorn or draw (80%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Progres Niederkorn to win at 1.91 – 59% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Progres Niederkorn or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: US Hostert 0–1 Progres Niederkorn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
US Hostert20%fair 5.07 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.10
Progres Niederkorn59%fair 1.70 · @1.91
2.75Expected goals
0.93US Hostert xG
1.82Progres Niederkorn xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–36%
0–06%
From our goals model: US Hostert 0.9 – 1.8 Progres Niederkorn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Progres Niederkorn to win✓
59%
1.70
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Progres Niederkorn or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Progres Niederkorn ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Progres Niederkorn / FT Progres Niederkorn✓
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.60
–
Form
US Hostert – last 5
LLWDW
8 Mar
@ FC Differdange 03
2–3
L
4 Mar
@ Fola Esch
1–3
L
1 Mar
vs UNA Strassen
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Jeunesse Canach
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Union Titus Petange
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Progres Niederkorn – last 5
LWWLD
8 Mar
@ UNA Strassen
0–2
L
4 Mar
@ Wiltz
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Union Titus Petange
4–1
W
22 Feb
@ Victoria Rosport
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Swift Hesperange
1–1
D
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between US Hostert and Progres Niederkorn.
What is the prediction for US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn?
Our pick is Progres Niederkorn or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn?
On our numbers US Hostert have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Progres Niederkorn 59%.
How many goals will there be in US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn?
Our predicted score is US Hostert 0–1 Progres Niederkorn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn?
US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn (National Division) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Jos Becker.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Union Titus Petange0
Mamer0
Jeunesse Canach0