Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Roskilde to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRoskilde to win ✗60% · @1.91
Double chanceRoskilde or draw ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.71
Roskilde vs Naestved preview and prediction
The match
The 2. Division sees Roskilde take on Naestved on Thursday 2 April, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Roskilde Idrætspark. Roskilde are 2nd with 29 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Naestved sit 6th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Roskilde's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to AB Copenhagen 0–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Naestved's last 4: DDWD Most recently they drew with Brabrand 0–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Roskilde arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Roskilde and 0.8 for Naestved. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Roskilde to win at 1.91 – 60% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Roskilde or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Roskilde 1–0 Naestved. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Roskilde60%fair 1.66 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @2.90
Naestved17%fair 5.92 · @3.80
2.63Expected goals
1.80Roskilde xG
0.83Naestved xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Roskilde 1.8 – 0.8 Naestved expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Roskilde to win✗
60%
1.66
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Roskilde or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Roskilde ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Roskilde / FT Roskilde✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.71
–
Form
Roskilde – last 6
LLWWWW
27 Mar
@ AB Copenhagen
0–2
L
20 Mar
vs FC Helsingor
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ HIK
2–0
W
6 Mar
vs Ishøj
2–1
W
19 Feb
@ Frem
4–1
W
14 Feb
@ Brønshøj
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Naestved – last 4
DDWD
29 Mar
vs Brabrand
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Vendsyssel FF
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Fremad Amager
3–2
W
21 Feb
vs FC Helsingor
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Roskilde and Naestved.
Our pick is Roskilde or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Roskilde vs Naestved?
On our numbers Roskilde have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Naestved 17%.
How many goals will there be in Roskilde vs Naestved?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Roskilde vs Naestved?
Our predicted score is Roskilde 1–0 Naestved, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Roskilde vs Naestved?
Roskilde vs Naestved (2. Division) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Roskilde Idrætspark.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Vendsyssel FF0
FC Helsingor1
AB Copenhagen0