Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNæsby to win ✓63% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.57
Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød preview and prediction
The match
Næsby host Hørsholm-Usserød in the 3. Division on Saturday 28 March, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at ALPI Arena Naesby. Næsby are 6th with 21 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Hørsholm-Usserød sit 4th on 25 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.3 for Næsby and 1.2 for Hørsholm-Usserød. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 69% and both teams to score at 66%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Næsby to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Næsby 2–1 Hørsholm-Usserød. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Næsby63%fair 1.59 · @1.95
Draw16%fair 6.20 · @3.60
Hørsholm-Usserød21%fair 4.80 · @2.90
3.58Expected goals
2.33Næsby xG
1.25Hørsholm-Usserød xG
66%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: Næsby 2.3 – 1.2 Hørsholm-Usserød expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Næsby to win✓
63%
1.59
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Næsby ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Næsby / FT Næsby✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.57
–
Form
Næsby – last 1
W
7 Mar
@ Holbæk B&I
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Hørsholm-Usserød – last 2
LW
7 Mar
vs Vanløse
0–1
L
17 Feb
@ Glostrup
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Næsby and Hørsholm-Usserød.
What is the prediction for Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød?
Our pick is Næsby to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød?
On our numbers Næsby have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Hørsholm-Usserød 21%.
How many goals will there be in Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød?
Our predicted score is Næsby 2–1 Hørsholm-Usserød, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød?
Næsby vs Hørsholm-Usserød (3. Division) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at ALPI Arena Naesby.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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