Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHolbæk B&I to win ✗63% · @1.70
Double chanceHolbæk B&I or draw ✗84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Holbæk B&I vs Næsby preview and prediction
The match
Næsby travel to Holbæk Sportsby in the 3. Division on Saturday 7 March (13:00 WAT) to face Holbæk B&I. Holbæk B&I are 2nd with 29 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Næsby sit 6th on 21 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.3 for Holbæk B&I and 1.2 for Næsby. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Holbæk B&I 63%, draw 21%, Næsby 16%.
Safer route: Holbæk B&I or draw (84%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Holbæk B&I to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Holbæk B&I 2–1 Næsby. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Holbæk B&I63%fair 1.59 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.30
Næsby16%fair 6.10 · @4.00
3.50Expected goals
2.35Holbæk B&I xG
1.15Næsby xG
61%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–08%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Holbæk B&I 2.3 – 1.2 Næsby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Holbæk B&I to win✗
63%
1.59
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Holbæk B&I or draw✗
84%
1.20
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Holbæk B&I ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Holbæk B&I / FT Holbæk B&I✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.43
–
Form
Holbæk B&I – last 1
W
13 Feb
vs Ishøj
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Næsby
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Holbæk B&I and Næsby.
Our pick is Holbæk B&I to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Holbæk B&I vs Næsby?
On our numbers Holbæk B&I have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Næsby 16%.
How many goals will there be in Holbæk B&I vs Næsby?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Holbæk B&I vs Næsby?
Our predicted score is Holbæk B&I 2–1 Næsby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Holbæk B&I vs Næsby?
Holbæk B&I vs Næsby (3. Division) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Holbæk Sportsby.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Odder
Vejgaard B
Nykobing FC1
FA 20001
Lyseng0