Cadiz host Las Palmas in the Segunda División on Monday 27 April, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at JP Financial Estadio. Cadiz are 20th with 10 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Las Palmas sit 10th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Cadiz's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Sporting Gijon 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Las Palmas's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Leganes 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Las Palmas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.9 for Cadiz and 1.4 for Las Palmas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cadiz 27%, draw 24%, Las Palmas 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.77.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Cadiz 0–1 Las Palmas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cadiz27%fair 3.76 · @3.85
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @2.94
Las Palmas50%fair 2.02 · @2.12
2.35Expected goals
0.94Cadiz xG
1.41Las Palmas xG
58%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
0–210%
1–09%
1–29%
From our goals model: Cadiz 0.9 – 1.4 Las Palmas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Las Palmas to win✓
50%
2.02
2.12 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Las Palmas / FT Las Palmas✗
28%
3.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.44
–
Form
Cadiz – last 6
LLLLWL
19 Apr
@ Sporting Gijon
0–3
L
4 Apr
vs Cordoba
1–3
L
31 Mar
@ Valladolid
0–3
L
28 Mar
@ AD Ceuta FC
1–2
L
13 Mar
@ Mirandes
2–0
W
6 Mar
vs Zaragoza
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Las Palmas – last 6
WWWLLW
17 Apr
vs Leganes
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Huesca
2–1
W
2 Apr
vs Granada CF
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Eibar
1–3
L
16 Mar
@ Albacete
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs AD Ceuta FC
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cadiz and Las Palmas.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cadiz vs Las Palmas?
On our numbers Cadiz have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Las Palmas 50%.
How many goals will there be in Cadiz vs Las Palmas?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cadiz vs Las Palmas?
Our predicted score is Cadiz 0–1 Las Palmas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cadiz vs Las Palmas?
Cadiz vs Las Palmas (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at JP Financial Estadio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
