Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.90
Las Palmas vs Leganes preview and prediction
The match
Leganes travel to Estadio de Gran Canaria in the Segunda División on Friday 17 April (20:00 WAT) to face Las Palmas. Las Palmas are 10th with 20 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Leganes sit 18th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Las Palmas's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Huesca 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Leganes's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to Almeria 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Las Palmas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Las Palmas and 0.8 for Leganes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Las Palmas 60%, draw 22%, Leganes 18%.
Safer route: Las Palmas or draw (82%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Las Palmas 1–0 Leganes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Las Palmas60%fair 1.67 · @1.65
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.70
Leganes18%fair 5.52 · @5.10
2.45Expected goals
1.67Las Palmas xG
0.77Leganes xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Las Palmas 1.7 – 0.8 Leganes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Las Palmas to win✓
60%
1.67
1.65
Double chance
Las Palmas or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Las Palmas / FT Las Palmas✓
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.90
–
Form
Las Palmas – last 6
WWLLWW
5 Apr
vs Huesca
2–1
W
2 Apr
vs Granada CF
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Eibar
1–3
L
16 Mar
@ Albacete
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs AD Ceuta FC
4–0
W
1 Mar
@ Cultural Leonesa
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Leganes – last 5
LDLDD
5 Apr
@ Almeria
1–2
L
2 Apr
vs Zaragoza
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Eibar
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ Sporting Gijon
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Cultural Leonesa
1–1
D
0.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Las Palmas and Leganes.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Las Palmas vs Leganes?
On our numbers Las Palmas have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Leganes 18%.
How many goals will there be in Las Palmas vs Leganes?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Las Palmas vs Leganes?
Our predicted score is Las Palmas 1–0 Leganes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Las Palmas vs Leganes?
Las Palmas vs Leganes (Segunda División) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Gran Canaria.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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