AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II preview and prediction
The match
AD Ceuta FC host Real Sociedad II in the Segunda División on Friday 10 April, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube. AD Ceuta FC are 22nd with 5 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Real Sociedad II sit 17th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
AD Ceuta FC's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Eibar 0–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Real Sociedad II's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Sporting Gijon 0–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
AD Ceuta FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.6 for AD Ceuta FC and 1.2 for Real Sociedad II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AD Ceuta FC 48%, draw 22%, Real Sociedad II 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Real Sociedad II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AD Ceuta FC48%fair 2.08 · @2.08
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.35
Real Sociedad II30%fair 3.31 · @3.40
2.80Expected goals
1.60AD Ceuta FC xG
1.20Real Sociedad II xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: AD Ceuta FC 1.6 – 1.2 Real Sociedad II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AD Ceuta FC to win✗
48%
2.08
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AD Ceuta FC / FT AD Ceuta FC✗
28%
3.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.30
–
Form
AD Ceuta FC – last 6
LDWLWW
5 Apr
@ Eibar
0–3
L
1 Apr
@ Burgos
1–1
D
28 Mar
vs Cadiz
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Las Palmas
0–4
L
1 Mar
@ Mirandes
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs Cordoba
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Real Sociedad II – last 6
LLLLWW
6 Apr
@ Sporting Gijon
0–1
L
2 Apr
vs Eibar
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Almeria
1–5
L
22 Mar
vs Granada CF
0–2
L
18 Mar
@ Crystal Palace U21
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Cordoba
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AD Ceuta FC and Real Sociedad II.
What is the prediction for AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II?
On our numbers AD Ceuta FC have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Sociedad II 30%.
How many goals will there be in AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II?
Our predicted score is AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Real Sociedad II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II?
AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II (Segunda División) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
