Sporting Gijon vs Real Sociedad II prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Sporting Gijon or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Sporting Gijon to win @ 1.75 – our chance 65% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSporting Gijon to win ✓65% · @1.75
Double chanceSporting Gijon or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Sporting Gijon vs Real Sociedad II preview and prediction
The match
Real Sociedad II travel to Estadio Municipal El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini in the Segunda División on Monday 6 April (19:30 WAT) to face Sporting Gijon. Sporting Gijon are 7th with 22 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Real Sociedad II sit 17th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Sporting Gijon's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to Racing Santander 1–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Real Sociedad II's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Eibar 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Sporting Gijon and 0.8 for Real Sociedad II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sporting Gijon 65%, draw 21%, Real Sociedad II 14%.
Safer route: Sporting Gijon or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Sporting Gijon to win at 1.75 – 65% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sporting Gijon or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sporting Gijon 1–0 Real Sociedad II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting Gijon65%fair 1.54 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.80
Real Sociedad II14%fair 7.21 · @4.30
2.76Expected goals
1.97Sporting Gijon xG
0.79Real Sociedad II xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Sporting Gijon 2.0 – 0.8 Real Sociedad II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting Gijon to win✓
65%
1.54
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Sporting Gijon or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.38
Half-time result
Sporting Gijon ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting Gijon / FT Sporting Gijon✓
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.31
–
Form
Sporting Gijon – last 5
LLDDD
1 Apr
@ Racing Santander
1–3
L
8 Mar
@ FC Andorra
0–1
L
2 Mar
vs Leganes
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Valladolid
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ Albacete
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Real Sociedad II – last 6
LLLWWL
2 Apr
vs Eibar
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Almeria
1–5
L
22 Mar
vs Granada CF
0–2
L
18 Mar
@ Crystal Palace U21
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Cordoba
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Deportivo La Coruna
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Gijon and Real Sociedad II.
What is the prediction for Sporting Gijon vs Real Sociedad II?
Our pick is Sporting Gijon or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sporting Gijon vs Real Sociedad II?
On our numbers Sporting Gijon have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Real Sociedad II 14%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Gijon vs Real Sociedad II?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Gijon vs Real Sociedad II?
Our predicted score is Sporting Gijon 1–0 Real Sociedad II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sporting Gijon vs Real Sociedad II?
Sporting Gijon vs Real Sociedad II (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
