Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultValladolid to win ✓66% · @1.70
Double chanceValladolid or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.54
Valladolid vs Cadiz preview and prediction
The match
Valladolid host Cadiz in the Segunda División on Tuesday 31 March, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla. Valladolid are 12th with 18 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Cadiz sit 20th on 10 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Cadiz's last 4: LWLL Most recently they lost to AD Ceuta FC 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Valladolid and 0.6 for Cadiz. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Valladolid 66%, draw 22%, Cadiz 12%.
Safer route: Valladolid or draw (88%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Valladolid to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Valladolid 1–0 Cadiz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Valladolid66%fair 1.51 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.60
Cadiz12%fair 8.27 · @5.00
2.49Expected goals
1.85Valladolid xG
0.64Cadiz xG
47%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Valladolid 1.9 – 0.6 Cadiz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valladolid to win✓
66%
1.51
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Valladolid or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Half-time result
Valladolid ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valladolid / FT Valladolid✓
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.54
–
Form
Valladolid – last 2
LD
22 Mar
@ Mirandes
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Sporting Gijon
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Cadiz – last 4
LWLL
28 Mar
@ AD Ceuta FC
1–2
L
13 Mar
@ Mirandes
2–0
W
6 Mar
vs Zaragoza
0–1
L
23 Feb
vs Real Sociedad II
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valladolid and Cadiz.
Our pick is Valladolid to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Valladolid vs Cadiz?
On our numbers Valladolid have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cadiz 12%.
How many goals will there be in Valladolid vs Cadiz?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valladolid vs Cadiz?
Our predicted score is Valladolid 1–0 Cadiz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Valladolid vs Cadiz?
Valladolid vs Cadiz (Segunda División) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.