Value bet: Rapid Wien II to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSturm Graz II to win ✗41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.61
Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Wien II preview and prediction
The match
Sturm Graz II host Rapid Wien II in the 2. Liga on Thursday 14 May, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Solarstadion Gleisdorf. Sturm Graz II are 12th with 14 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Rapid Wien II sit 15th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Sturm Graz II's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to WSPG Wels 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Rapid Wien II's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat First Vienna 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Rapid Wien II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Sturm Graz II and 1.3 for Rapid Wien II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sturm Graz II 41%, draw 23%, Rapid Wien II 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Rapid Wien II to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Sturm Graz II 1–1 Rapid Wien II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sturm Graz II41%fair 2.44 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.45
Rapid Wien II36%fair 2.75 · @3.10
2.75Expected goals
1.43Sturm Graz II xG
1.32Rapid Wien II xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Sturm Graz II 1.4 – 1.3 Rapid Wien II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sturm Graz II to win✗
41%
2.44
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sturm Graz II / FT Sturm Graz II✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.61
–
Form
Sturm Graz II – last 6
LLLWLL
8 May
@ WSPG Wels
0–2
L
26 Apr
@ Admira Wacker
1–2
L
12 Apr
@ First Vienna
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
3–1
W
3 Apr
vs SKN ST. Polten
0–1
L
10 Mar
vs FC Liefering
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rapid Wien II – last 6
WLLLWL
8 May
vs First Vienna
1–0
W
3 May
@ Austria Klagenfurt
1–2
L
17 Apr
@ Austria Lustenau
0–3
L
10 Apr
vs WSPG Wels
1–4
L
6 Apr
@ SV Kapfenberg
2–0
W
3 Apr
vs Floridsdorfer AC
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sturm Graz II and Rapid Wien II.
What is the prediction for Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Wien II?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Wien II?
On our numbers Sturm Graz II have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rapid Wien II 36%.
How many goals will there be in Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Wien II?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Wien II?
Our predicted score is Sturm Graz II 1–1 Rapid Wien II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Wien II?
Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Wien II (2. Liga) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Solarstadion Gleisdorf.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Austria Lustenau2
Austria Klagenfurt2