SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
SKN ST. Polten to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSKN ST. Polten to win ✓68% · @1.55
Double chanceSKN ST. Polten or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.18
SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten preview and prediction
The match
The 2. Liga sees SV Kapfenberg take on SKN ST. Polten on Friday 8 May, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Alpenstadion Kapfenberg. SV Kapfenberg are 14th with 8 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while SKN ST. Polten sit 11th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
SV Kapfenberg's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 3–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
SKN ST. Polten's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Floridsdorfer AC 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
SKN ST. Polten arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.8 for SV Kapfenberg and 2.1 for SKN ST. Polten. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was SKN ST. Polten to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: SV Kapfenberg 0–2 SKN ST. Polten. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SV Kapfenberg12%fair 8.19 · @4.80
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @4.20
SKN ST. Polten68%fair 1.48 · @1.55
2.92Expected goals
0.79SV Kapfenberg xG
2.13SKN ST. Polten xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%
From our goals model: SV Kapfenberg 0.8 – 2.1 SKN ST. Polten expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SKN ST. Polten to win✓
68%
1.48
1.55
Double chance
SKN ST. Polten or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.50
Half-time result
SKN ST. Polten ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SKN ST. Polten / FT SKN ST. Polten✓
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
12%
8.18
–
Form
SV Kapfenberg – last 6
WLLWDL
17 Apr
vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
3–1
W
10 Apr
@ Austria Klagenfurt
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs Rapid Wien II
0–2
L
3 Apr
@ First Vienna
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs SKU Amstetten
0–0
D
13 Mar
@ WSPG Wels
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
SKN ST. Polten – last 6
DDLWWW
24 Apr
@ Floridsdorfer AC
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs FC Liefering
0–0
D
10 Apr
@ Austria Lustenau
0–3
L
6 Apr
vs Austria Klagenfurt
2–0
W
3 Apr
@ Sturm Graz II
1–0
W
20 Mar
vs Austria Salzburg
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SV Kapfenberg and SKN ST. Polten.
What is the prediction for SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten?
Our pick is SKN ST. Polten to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten?
On our numbers SV Kapfenberg have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 20% and SKN ST. Polten 68%.
How many goals will there be in SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten?
Our predicted score is SV Kapfenberg 0–2 SKN ST. Polten, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten?
SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten (2. Liga) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Alpenstadion Kapfenberg.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.