Sturm Graz II vs SKN ST. Polten prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
SKN ST. Polten or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: SKN ST. Polten to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSKN ST. Polten to win ✓64% · @1.85
Double chanceSKN ST. Polten or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 8.73
Sturm Graz II vs SKN ST. Polten preview and prediction
The match
The 2. Liga sees Sturm Graz II take on SKN ST. Polten on Friday 3 April, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Solarstadion Gleisdorf. Sturm Graz II are 12th with 14 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while SKN ST. Polten sit 11th on 15 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sturm Graz II's last 4: LWLW Most recently they lost to FC Liefering 0–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
SKN ST. Polten's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Austria Salzburg 2–1 at home. They average 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.9 for Sturm Graz II and 2.0 for SKN ST. Polten. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sturm Graz II 14%, draw 22%, SKN ST. Polten 64%.
Safer route: SKN ST. Polten or draw (86%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.62.
Value angle: SKN ST. Polten to win at 1.85 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was SKN ST. Polten or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sturm Graz II 0–2 SKN ST. Polten. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sturm Graz II14%fair 7.23 · @3.60
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.40
SKN ST. Polten64%fair 1.57 · @1.85
2.90Expected goals
0.86Sturm Graz II xG
2.04SKN ST. Polten xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Sturm Graz II 0.9 – 2.0 SKN ST. Polten expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SKN ST. Polten to win✓
64%
1.57
1.85 ▲
Double chance
SKN ST. Polten or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
SKN ST. Polten ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SKN ST. Polten / FT SKN ST. Polten✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
8.73
–
Form
Sturm Graz II – last 4
LWLW
10 Mar
vs FC Liefering
0–1
L
6 Mar
@ Floridsdorfer AC
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ SV Kapfenberg
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Voitsberg
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
SKN ST. Polten – last 5
WWLLD
20 Mar
vs Austria Salzburg
2–1
W
6 Mar
vs Rapid Wien II
4–0
W
27 Feb
vs SKU Amstetten
1–3
L
20 Feb
@ First Vienna
1–2
L
13 Feb
vs Táborsko
0–0
D
1.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sturm Graz II and SKN ST. Polten.
What is the prediction for Sturm Graz II vs SKN ST. Polten?
Our pick is SKN ST. Polten or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sturm Graz II vs SKN ST. Polten?
On our numbers Sturm Graz II have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and SKN ST. Polten 64%.
How many goals will there be in Sturm Graz II vs SKN ST. Polten?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sturm Graz II vs SKN ST. Polten?
Our predicted score is Sturm Graz II 0–2 SKN ST. Polten, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sturm Graz II vs SKN ST. Polten?
Sturm Graz II vs SKN ST. Polten (2. Liga) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Solarstadion Gleisdorf.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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