Shakhtar Donetsk vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Shakhtar Donetsk to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultShakhtar Donetsk to win ✓67% · @1.44
Double chanceShakhtar Donetsk or draw ✓88% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.59
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv preview and prediction
The match
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv travel to Arena Lviv in the Premier League on Sunday 15 March (17:00 WAT) to face Shakhtar Donetsk. Shakhtar Donetsk are 1st with 29 points from 12 games (top of the table), while Metalist 1925 Kharkiv sit 4th on 21 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Shakhtar Donetsk's last 4: WWWW Most recently they beat Lech Poznan 3–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat Ruh Lviv 3–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Shakhtar Donetsk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Shakhtar Donetsk and 0.6 for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 51% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Shakhtar Donetsk to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shakhtar Donetsk67%fair 1.50 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.90
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv12%fair 8.26 · @6.50
2.51Expected goals
1.87Shakhtar Donetsk xG
0.64Metalist 1925 Kharkiv xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Shakhtar Donetsk 1.9 – 0.6 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shakhtar Donetsk to win✓
67%
1.50
1.44
Double chance
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Shakhtar Donetsk ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shakhtar Donetsk / FT Shakhtar Donetsk✗
42%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.59
–
Form
Shakhtar Donetsk – last 4
WWWW
12 Mar
@ Lech Poznan
3–1
W
6 Mar
@ Oleksandria
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Veres Rivne
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Karpaty
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv – last 3
WWD
9 Mar
@ Ruh Lviv
3–0
W
5 Mar
vs Lokomotiv Kyiv
3–0
W
21 Feb
vs Kryvbas KR
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shakhtar Donetsk and Metalist 1925 Kharkiv.
What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?
Our pick is Shakhtar Donetsk to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?
On our numbers Shakhtar Donetsk have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 12%.
How many goals will there be in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?
Our predicted score is Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Shakhtar Donetsk vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Lviv.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ruh Lviv0