Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultZorya Luhansk to win ✓74% · @1.25
Double chanceZorya Luhansk or draw ✓91% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗14% · fair 7.38
Zorya Luhansk vs SK Poltava preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Zorya Luhansk take on SK Poltava on Sunday 8 March, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Obolon Arena.
Form guide
SK Poltava's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Kudrivka 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.3 for Zorya Luhansk and 0.7 for SK Poltava. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Zorya Luhansk 74%, draw 17%, SK Poltava 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 54% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Zorya Luhansk 2–0 SK Poltava. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zorya Luhansk74%fair 1.36 · @1.25
Draw17%fair 5.82 · @4.80
SK Poltava9%fair 10.99 · @12.00
2.96Expected goals
2.29Zorya Luhansk xG
0.67SK Poltava xG
54%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Zorya Luhansk 2.3 – 0.7 SK Poltava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zorya Luhansk to win✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Double chance
Zorya Luhansk or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.50
Half-time result
Zorya Luhansk ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zorya Luhansk / FT Zorya Luhansk✓
50%
2.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
14%
7.38
–
Form
Zorya Luhansk – last 2
LD
1 Mar
@ Kryvbas KR
1–3
L
23 Feb
@ Kudrivka
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
SK Poltava – last 3
LLL
2 Mar
vs Kudrivka
0–2
L
20 Feb
@ Veres Rivne
2–3
L
13 Feb
@ Bukovyna
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zorya Luhansk and SK Poltava.
What is the prediction for Zorya Luhansk vs SK Poltava?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Zorya Luhansk vs SK Poltava?
On our numbers Zorya Luhansk have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 17% and SK Poltava 9%.
How many goals will there be in Zorya Luhansk vs SK Poltava?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zorya Luhansk vs SK Poltava?
Our predicted score is Zorya Luhansk 2–0 SK Poltava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Zorya Luhansk vs SK Poltava?
Zorya Luhansk vs SK Poltava (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Obolon Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
