Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 54% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultShakhtar Donetsk to win ✓71% · @1.22
Double chanceShakhtar Donetsk or draw ✓91% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.81
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Karpaty preview and prediction
The match
Karpaty travel to Arena Lviv in the Premier League on Sunday 22 February (14:30 WAT) to face Shakhtar Donetsk. Shakhtar Donetsk are 1st with 29 points from 12 games (top of the table), while Karpaty sit 5th on 19 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Shakhtar Donetsk and 0.7 for Karpaty. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 54% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Shakhtar Donetsk to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Shakhtar Donetsk 2–0 Karpaty. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shakhtar Donetsk71%fair 1.42 · @1.22
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @5.40
Karpaty9%fair 10.63 · @10.80
2.98Expected goals
2.25Shakhtar Donetsk xG
0.73Karpaty xG
54%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Shakhtar Donetsk 2.2 – 0.7 Karpaty expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shakhtar Donetsk to win✓
71%
1.42
1.22
Double chance
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Half-time result
Shakhtar Donetsk ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shakhtar Donetsk / FT Shakhtar Donetsk✗
48%
2.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.81
–
Form
Shakhtar Donetsk
No recent results on record.
Karpaty
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shakhtar Donetsk and Karpaty.
What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Karpaty?
Our pick is Shakhtar Donetsk to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Karpaty?
On our numbers Shakhtar Donetsk have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Karpaty 9%.
How many goals will there be in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Karpaty?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Karpaty?
Our predicted score is Shakhtar Donetsk 2–0 Karpaty, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Shakhtar Donetsk vs Karpaty?
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Karpaty (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Lviv.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
