Value bet: Kryvbas KR to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMetalist 1925 Kharkiv to win ✗39% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.82
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Kryvbas KR preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Metalist 1925 Kharkiv take on Kryvbas KR on Saturday 21 February, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Tsentralnyi Stadion. Metalist 1925 Kharkiv are 4th with 21 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Kryvbas KR sit 16th on 7 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv and 1.2 for Kryvbas KR. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Kryvbas KR to win at 3.10 – 37% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1–1 Kryvbas KR. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv39%fair 2.57 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.25
Kryvbas KR37%fair 2.70 · @3.10
2.54Expected goals
1.29Metalist 1925 Kharkiv xG
1.25Kryvbas KR xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1.3 – 1.2 Kryvbas KR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv to win✗
39%
2.57
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.32
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.88 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.37
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.63
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Metalist 1925 Kharkiv / FT Metalist 1925 Kharkiv✗
22%
4.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.82
–
Form
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
No recent results on record.
Kryvbas KR
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Metalist 1925 Kharkiv and Kryvbas KR.
What is the prediction for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Kryvbas KR?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Kryvbas KR?
On our numbers Metalist 1925 Kharkiv have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kryvbas KR 37%.
How many goals will there be in Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Kryvbas KR?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Kryvbas KR?
Our predicted score is Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1–1 Kryvbas KR, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Kryvbas KR?
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Kryvbas KR (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Tsentralnyi Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
