Value bet: Osasuna to win @ 2.78 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOsasuna to win ✗38% · @2.78
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27
Levante vs Osasuna preview and prediction
The match
The La Liga sees Levante take on Osasuna on Friday 8 May, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia. Levante are 17th with 11 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Osasuna sit 16th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Levante's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Espanyol 0–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Osasuna's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to Athletic Club 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Levante arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Levante and 1.3 for Osasuna. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Levante 37%, draw 24%, Osasuna 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Osasuna to win at 2.78 – 38% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Levante 1–1 Osasuna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Levante37%fair 2.68 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.20
Osasuna38%fair 2.60 · @2.78
2.60Expected goals
1.29Levante xG
1.31Osasuna xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Levante 1.3 – 1.3 Osasuna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Osasuna to win✗
38%
2.60
2.78 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Osasuna / FT Osasuna✗
22%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.27
–
Form
Levante – last 6
DWWLDW
27 Apr
@ Espanyol
0–0
D
23 Apr
vs Sevilla
2–0
W
13 Apr
vs Getafe
1–0
W
4 Apr
@ Real Sociedad
0–2
L
16 Mar
@ Rayo Vallecano
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Alaves
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Osasuna – last 5
LDDLD
21 Apr
@ Athletic Club
0–1
L
12 Apr
vs Real Betis
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Alaves
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Valencia
0–1
L
13 Feb
@ Elche
0–0
D
0.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Levante and Osasuna.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Levante vs Osasuna?
On our numbers Levante have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Osasuna 38%.
How many goals will there be in Levante vs Osasuna?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Levante vs Osasuna?
Our predicted score is Levante 1–1 Osasuna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Levante vs Osasuna?
Levante vs Osasuna (La Liga) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
