Value bet: Levante to win @ 3.55 – our chance 35% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEspanyol to win ✗43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.92
Espanyol vs Levante preview and prediction
The match
Espanyol host Levante in the La Liga on Monday 27 April, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at RCDE Stadium. Espanyol are 13th with 12 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Levante sit 17th on 11 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Espanyol's last 4: LLDD Most recently they lost to Rayo Vallecano 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Levante's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Sevilla 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Levante arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Espanyol and 1.2 for Levante. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Espanyol 43%, draw 22%, Levante 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Levante to win at 3.55 – 35% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Espanyol 1–1 Levante. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Espanyol43%fair 2.33 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.20
Levante35%fair 2.87 · @3.55
2.63Expected goals
1.40Espanyol xG
1.23Levante xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Espanyol 1.4 – 1.2 Levante expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Espanyol to win✗
43%
2.33
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Espanyol / FT Espanyol✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.92
–
Form
Espanyol – last 4
LLDD
23 Apr
@ Rayo Vallecano
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Mallorca
1–2
L
9 Mar
vs Oviedo
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Elche
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Levante – last 6
WWLDWL
23 Apr
vs Sevilla
2–0
W
13 Apr
vs Getafe
1–0
W
4 Apr
@ Real Sociedad
0–2
L
16 Mar
@ Rayo Vallecano
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Alaves
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Barcelona
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Espanyol and Levante.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Espanyol vs Levante?
On our numbers Espanyol have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Levante 35%.
How many goals will there be in Espanyol vs Levante?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Espanyol vs Levante?
Our predicted score is Espanyol 1–1 Levante, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Espanyol vs Levante?
Espanyol vs Levante (La Liga) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at RCDE Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.