Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRayo Vallecano to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.40
Rayo Vallecano vs Elche preview and prediction
The match
Rayo Vallecano host Elche in the La Liga on Friday 3 April, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas. Rayo Vallecano are 14th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Elche sit 18th on 10 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Rayo Vallecano's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Barcelona 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Elche's last 4: LDLD Most recently they lost to Villarreal 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Rayo Vallecano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Rayo Vallecano and 0.8 for Elche. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 50%.
Our pre-match pick was Rayo Vallecano to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.67, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Elche. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rayo Vallecano60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.40
Elche20%fair 4.93 · @4.50
2.53Expected goals
1.70Rayo Vallecano xG
0.83Elche xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Rayo Vallecano 1.7 – 0.8 Elche expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rayo Vallecano to win✓
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rayo Vallecano / FT Rayo Vallecano✗
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.40
–
Form
Rayo Vallecano – last 6
LLDWDW
22 Mar
@ Barcelona
0–1
L
19 Mar
vs Samsunspor
0–1
L
16 Mar
vs Levante
1–1
D
12 Mar
@ Samsunspor
3–1
W
8 Mar
@ Sevilla
1–1
D
4 Mar
vs Oviedo
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Elche – last 4
LDLD
8 Mar
@ Villarreal
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Espanyol
2–2
D
20 Feb
@ Athletic Club
1–2
L
13 Feb
vs Osasuna
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rayo Vallecano and Elche.
What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Elche?
Our pick is Rayo Vallecano to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Elche?
On our numbers Rayo Vallecano have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Elche 20%.
How many goals will there be in Rayo Vallecano vs Elche?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rayo Vallecano vs Elche?
Our predicted score is Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Elche, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Rayo Vallecano vs Elche?
Rayo Vallecano vs Elche (La Liga) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
