Value bet: Espanyol to win @ 3.20 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEspanyol to win ✗37% · @3.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.45
Mallorca vs Espanyol preview and prediction
The match
Espanyol travel to Estadi Mallorca Son Moix in the La Liga on Sunday 15 March (14:00 WAT) to face Mallorca.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Mallorca and 1.4 for Espanyol. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Espanyol to win at 3.20 – 37% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.73, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mallorca 1–1 Espanyol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mallorca37%fair 2.69 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.00
Espanyol37%fair 2.68 · @3.20
2.76Expected goals
1.38Mallorca xG
1.38Espanyol xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Mallorca 1.4 – 1.4 Espanyol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Espanyol to win✗
37%
2.68
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Espanyol / FT Espanyol✗
22%
4.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
11.45
–
Form
Mallorca – last 2
LL
22 Feb
@ Celta Vigo
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Real Betis
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Espanyol – last 2
DD
9 Mar
vs Oviedo
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Elche
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mallorca and Espanyol.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Mallorca vs Espanyol?
On our numbers Mallorca have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Espanyol 37%.
How many goals will there be in Mallorca vs Espanyol?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mallorca vs Espanyol?
Our predicted score is Mallorca 1–1 Espanyol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Mallorca vs Espanyol?
Mallorca vs Espanyol (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
