Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Villarreal to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVillarreal to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceVillarreal or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓10% · fair 9.68
Levante vs Villarreal preview and prediction
The match
Levante host Villarreal in the La Liga on Wednesday 18 February, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia. Levante are 17th with 11 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Villarreal sit 8th on 15 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.0 for Levante and 1.9 for Villarreal. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Value angle: Villarreal to win at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Villarreal or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Levante 0–1 Villarreal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Levante19%fair 5.29 · @3.95
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.60
Villarreal59%fair 1.70 · @1.85
2.93Expected goals
1.00Levante xG
1.93Villarreal xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–110%
1–110%
0–210%
1–210%
0–36%
1–36%
From our goals model: Levante 1.0 – 1.9 Villarreal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villarreal to win✓
59%
1.70
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Villarreal or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.44
Half-time result
Villarreal ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villarreal / FT Villarreal✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
10%
9.68
–
Form
Levante – last 1
L
15 Feb
vs Valencia
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Villarreal
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Levante and Villarreal.
Our pick is Villarreal or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Levante vs Villarreal?
On our numbers Levante have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Villarreal 59%.
How many goals will there be in Levante vs Villarreal?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Levante vs Villarreal?
Our predicted score is Levante 0–1 Villarreal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Levante vs Villarreal?
Levante vs Villarreal (La Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 18 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
