Value bet: TSV Hartberg to win @ 2.35 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTSV Hartberg to win ✓46% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 8.78
TSV Hartberg vs Grazer AK preview and prediction
The match
The Bundesliga sees TSV Hartberg take on Grazer AK on Saturday 21 February, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Stadion Hartberg. TSV Hartberg are 4th with 20 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Grazer AK sit 10th on 10 points (in the bottom three).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for TSV Hartberg and 1.1 for Grazer AK. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: TSV Hartberg 46%, draw 22%, Grazer AK 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.95.
Value angle: TSV Hartberg to win at 2.35 – 46% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: TSV Hartberg 1–1 Grazer AK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
TSV Hartberg46%fair 2.17 · @2.35
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.25
Grazer AK32%fair 3.14 · @2.95
2.51Expected goals
1.41TSV Hartberg xG
1.11Grazer AK xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: TSV Hartberg 1.4 – 1.1 Grazer AK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
TSV Hartberg to win✓
46%
2.17
2.35 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.32
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT TSV Hartberg / FT TSV Hartberg✗
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
8.78
–
Form
TSV Hartberg
No recent results on record.
Grazer AK – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs Red Bull Salzburg
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between TSV Hartberg and Grazer AK.
What is the prediction for TSV Hartberg vs Grazer AK?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win TSV Hartberg vs Grazer AK?
On our numbers TSV Hartberg have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Grazer AK 32%.
How many goals will there be in TSV Hartberg vs Grazer AK?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for TSV Hartberg vs Grazer AK?
Our predicted score is TSV Hartberg 1–1 Grazer AK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is TSV Hartberg vs Grazer AK?
TSV Hartberg vs Grazer AK (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Hartberg.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.