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Bundesliga · Austria · Merkur-Arena

Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction & analysis

83%
Footrivo pick

Red Bull Salzburg or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Red Bull Salzburg to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultRed Bull Salzburg to win ✗61% · @1.75
Double chanceRed Bull Salzburg or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.15

Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg preview and prediction

The match

The Bundesliga sees Grazer AK take on Red Bull Salzburg on Sunday 15 February, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Merkur-Arena. Grazer AK are 10th with 10 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Red Bull Salzburg sit 2nd on 30 points (in the top four). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.9 for Grazer AK and 2.0 for Red Bull Salzburg. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Red Bull Salzburg or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Grazer AK 0–1 Red Bull Salzburg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Grazer AK17%fair 6.02 · @4.50
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.70
Red Bull Salzburg61%fair 1.65 · @1.75
2.88Expected goals
0.93Grazer AK xG
1.96Red Bull Salzburg xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%

From our goals model: Grazer AK 0.9 – 2.0 Red Bull Salzburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRed Bull Salzburg to win ✗61%1.651.75 ▲
Double chanceRed Bull Salzburg or draw ✓83%1.201.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.73
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.311.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.881.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.461.36
Half-time resultRed Bull Salzburg ahead at half-time ✗44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Red Bull Salzburg / FT Red Bull Salzburg ✗39%2.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11%9.15–

Form

Grazer AK

No recent results on record.

Red Bull Salzburg

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Grazer AK and Red Bull Salzburg.

Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg head-to-head page →

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rapid Vienna121101+3033
2Red Bull Salzburg12930+2430
3Lask Linz12813+1525
4TSV Hartberg12624+420
5Sturm Graz12543+519
6Ried12444-116
7WSG Wattens12345-313
8Austria Lustenau12327-1511
9SCR Altach12318-910
10Grazer AK12246-2010
11Austria Vienna12228-128
12Wolfsberger AC12138-186

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg?

Our pick is Red Bull Salzburg or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg?

On our numbers Grazer AK have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Red Bull Salzburg 61%.

How many goals will there be in Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg?

Our predicted score is Grazer AK 0–1 Red Bull Salzburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg?

Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Merkur-Arena.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.