Value bet: Kiryat Yam SC to win @ 1.67 – our chance 64% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKiryat Yam SC to win ✗64% · @1.67
Double chanceKiryat Yam SC or draw ✗84% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.91
Kiryat Yam SC vs Hapoel Afula preview and prediction
The match
Hapoel Afula travel to Acre Municipal Stadium in the Liga Leumit on Friday 17 April (13:00 WAT) to face Kiryat Yam SC. Kiryat Yam SC are 6th with 22 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Hapoel Afula sit 5th on 24 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Kiryat Yam SC's last 5: DLDWD Most recently they drew with Maccabi Petah Tikva 2–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Hapoel Afula's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Kiryat Yam SC and 0.8 for Hapoel Afula. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Kiryat Yam SC to win at 1.67 – 64% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Kiryat Yam SC 2–0 Hapoel Afula. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kiryat Yam SC64%fair 1.56 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.60
Hapoel Afula16%fair 6.35 · @4.50
2.72Expected goals
1.91Kiryat Yam SC xG
0.81Hapoel Afula xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Kiryat Yam SC 1.9 – 0.8 Hapoel Afula expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kiryat Yam SC to win✗
64%
1.56
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Kiryat Yam SC or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Half-time result
Kiryat Yam SC ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kiryat Yam SC / FT Kiryat Yam SC✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.91
–
Form
Kiryat Yam SC – last 6
DLDWDL
10 Apr
vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
2–2
D
3 Apr
@ Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
0–2
L
30 Mar
vs Hapoel Acre
0–0
D
24 Mar
@ Hapoel Hadera
4–1
W
23 Feb
vs Kafr Qasim
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ Hapoel Ramat Gan
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Hapoel Afula – last 6
LDDLWL
14 Apr
vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1–3
L
10 Apr
@ Hapoel Ra'anana
1–1
D
6 Apr
vs Ironi Modi'in
0–0
D
27 Mar
vs Bnei Yehuda
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Maccabi Petah Tikva
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
0–5
L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kiryat Yam SC and Hapoel Afula.
What is the prediction for Kiryat Yam SC vs Hapoel Afula?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kiryat Yam SC vs Hapoel Afula?
On our numbers Kiryat Yam SC have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Hapoel Afula 16%.
How many goals will there be in Kiryat Yam SC vs Hapoel Afula?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kiryat Yam SC vs Hapoel Afula?
Our predicted score is Kiryat Yam SC 2–0 Hapoel Afula, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Kiryat Yam SC vs Hapoel Afula?
Kiryat Yam SC vs Hapoel Afula (Liga Leumit) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Acre Municipal Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Maccabi Petah Tikva1
Hapoel Ramat Gan3
Hapoel Hadera1
Hapoel Nazareth Illit0