Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHapoel Nazareth Illit to win ✓44% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.90
Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit preview and prediction
The match
Hapoel Nazareth Illit travel to Grundman Stadium in the Liga Leumit on Tuesday 14 April (18:30 WAT) to face Hapoel Afula.
Form guide
Hapoel Afula's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Hapoel Ra'anana 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Maccabi Petah Tikva 1–5 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Hapoel Afula and 1.4 for Hapoel Nazareth Illit. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.93 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Hapoel Afula 1–1 Hapoel Nazareth Illit. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hapoel Afula33%fair 3.01 · @2.85
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00
Hapoel Nazareth Illit44%fair 2.30 · @2.40
2.49Expected goals
1.14Hapoel Afula xG
1.35Hapoel Nazareth Illit xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Hapoel Afula 1.1 – 1.4 Hapoel Nazareth Illit expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Nazareth Illit to win✓
44%
2.30
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Nazareth Illit / FT Hapoel Nazareth Illit✓
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.90
–
Form
Hapoel Afula – last 6
DDLWLW
10 Apr
@ Hapoel Ra'anana
1–1
D
6 Apr
vs Ironi Modi'in
0–0
D
27 Mar
vs Bnei Yehuda
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Maccabi Petah Tikva
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
0–5
L
16 Feb
@ Hapoel Acre
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Hapoel Nazareth Illit – last 6
LDLWDW
3 Apr
@ Maccabi Petah Tikva
1–5
L
31 Mar
vs Bnei Yehuda
1–1
D
27 Mar
vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Hapoel Acre
2–0
W
20 Feb
vs Hapoel Hadera
2–2
D
13 Feb
@ Kafr Qasim
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Afula and Hapoel Nazareth Illit.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
On our numbers Hapoel Afula have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hapoel Nazareth Illit 44%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Afula 1–1 Hapoel Nazareth Illit, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit (Liga Leumit) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Grundman Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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