Value bet: Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa to win @ 2.95 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHapoel Nazareth Illit to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.82
Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Leumit sees Hapoel Nazareth Illit take on Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa on Friday 27 March, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Green Stadium.
Form guide
Hapoel Nazareth Illit's last 3: WDW Most recently they beat Hapoel Acre 2–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa's last 3: DWD Most recently they drew with Hapoel Ra'anana 1–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Hapoel Nazareth Illit and 1.4 for Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa to win at 2.95 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1–1 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hapoel Nazareth Illit39%fair 2.58 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.20
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa37%fair 2.68 · @2.95
2.84Expected goals
1.44Hapoel Nazareth Illit xG
1.40Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–18%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1.4 – 1.4 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Nazareth Illit to win✗
39%
2.58
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Nazareth Illit / FT Hapoel Nazareth Illit✗
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.82
–
Form
Hapoel Nazareth Illit – last 3
WDW
27 Feb
@ Hapoel Acre
2–0
W
20 Feb
vs Hapoel Hadera
2–2
D
13 Feb
@ Kafr Qasim
3–2
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa – last 3
DWD
27 Feb
vs Hapoel Ra'anana
1–1
D
20 Feb
@ Hapoel Afula
5–0
W
16 Feb
vs Bnei Yehuda
4–4
D
3.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Nazareth Illit and Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa?
On our numbers Hapoel Nazareth Illit have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 37%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1–1 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa?
Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa (Liga Leumit) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Green Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
