Value bet: Montpellier to win @ 2.75 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMontpellier to win ✗41% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.55
Annecy vs Montpellier preview and prediction
The match
Annecy host Montpellier in the Ligue 2 on Friday 10 April, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Parc des Sports. Annecy are 9th with 16 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Montpellier sit 3rd on 24 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Annecy's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Guingamp 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.6 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Montpellier's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Estac Troyes 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Annecy arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Annecy and 1.3 for Montpellier. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Montpellier to win at 2.75 – 41% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Annecy 1–1 Montpellier. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Annecy34%fair 2.90 · @2.60
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.20
Montpellier41%fair 2.43 · @2.75
2.37Expected goals
1.12Annecy xG
1.26Montpellier xG
58%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Annecy 1.1 – 1.3 Montpellier expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Montpellier to win✗
41%
2.43
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montpellier / FT Montpellier✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.55
–
Form
Annecy – last 5
WLWWD
3 Apr
vs Guingamp
1–0
W
16 Mar
vs Estac Troyes
1–2
L
27 Feb
@ Bastia
2–0
W
20 Feb
vs RED Star FC 93
2–1
W
13 Feb
@ Laval
2–2
D
1.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Montpellier – last 6
DDWWDL
4 Apr
vs Estac Troyes
2–2
D
20 Mar
@ PAU
0–0
D
13 Mar
vs Laval
2–0
W
6 Mar
@ Nancy
3–0
W
27 Feb
vs Reims
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Rodez
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Annecy and Montpellier.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Annecy vs Montpellier?
On our numbers Annecy have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Montpellier 41%.
How many goals will there be in Annecy vs Montpellier?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Annecy vs Montpellier?
Our predicted score is Annecy 1–1 Montpellier, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Annecy vs Montpellier?
Annecy vs Montpellier (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Parc des Sports.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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