Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
2
Value bet: Annecy to win @ 3.00 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAnnecy to win ✓39% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.18
Bastia vs Annecy preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 2 sees Bastia take on Annecy on Friday 27 February, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stade Armand Cesari.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Bastia and 1.1 for Annecy. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bastia 35%, draw 26%, Annecy 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Annecy to win at 3.00 – 39% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Bastia 0–1 Annecy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bastia35%fair 2.87 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.95
Annecy39%fair 2.54 · @3.00
2.02Expected goals
0.97Bastia xG
1.05Annecy xG
50%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–114%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Bastia 1.0 – 1.1 Annecy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Annecy to win✓
39%
2.54
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.60
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
1.13
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.18
–
Form
Bastia – last 2
DD
20 Feb
@ Dunkerque
1–1
D
16 Feb
vs Estac Troyes
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Annecy – last 2
WD
20 Feb
vs RED Star FC 93
2–1
W
13 Feb
@ Laval
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bastia and Annecy.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Bastia vs Annecy?
On our numbers Bastia have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Annecy 39%.
How many goals will there be in Bastia vs Annecy?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bastia vs Annecy?
Our predicted score is Bastia 0–1 Annecy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Bastia vs Annecy?
Bastia vs Annecy (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Armand Cesari.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
