Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: PAU to win @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPAU to win ✗59% · @1.83
Double chancePAU or draw ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.11
PAU vs Boulogne preview and prediction
The match
Boulogne travel to Nouste Camp in the Ligue 2 on Friday 13 February (20:00 WAT) to face PAU. PAU are 5th with 20 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Boulogne sit 12th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for PAU and 0.9 for Boulogne. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: PAU 59%, draw 24%, Boulogne 17%.
Safer route: PAU or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.77.
Value angle: PAU to win at 1.83 – 59% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was PAU or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: PAU 1–0 Boulogne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PAU59%fair 1.69 · @1.83
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.45
Boulogne17%fair 5.85 · @4.20
2.69Expected goals
1.82PAU xG
0.87Boulogne xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: PAU 1.8 – 0.9 Boulogne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PAU to win✗
59%
1.69
1.83 ▲
Double chance
PAU or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Half-time result
PAU ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PAU / FT PAU✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.11
–
Form
PAU
No recent results on record.
Boulogne
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PAU and Boulogne.
Our pick is PAU or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win PAU vs Boulogne?
On our numbers PAU have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Boulogne 17%.
How many goals will there be in PAU vs Boulogne?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PAU vs Boulogne?
Our predicted score is PAU 1–0 Boulogne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is PAU vs Boulogne?
PAU vs Boulogne (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Nouste Camp.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Amiens1