Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVelež to win ✓60% · @1.62
Double chanceVelež or draw ✓80% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.24
Velež vs Siroki Brijeg preview and prediction
The match
Velež host Siroki Brijeg in the Premijer Liga on Tuesday 21 April, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Stadion Rodeni. Velež are 7th with 12 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Siroki Brijeg sit 4th on 17 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Velež's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Sloga Doboj 3–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Siroki Brijeg's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Rudar Prijedor 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Velež arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Siroki Brijeg 1–0 Velež.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.4 for Velež and 0.6 for Siroki Brijeg. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Velež to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Velež 1–0 Siroki Brijeg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Velež60%fair 1.68 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.10
Siroki Brijeg20%fair 5.12 · @5.80
1.98Expected goals
1.38Velež xG
0.60Siroki Brijeg xG
45%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
0–014%
2–013%
1–111%
0–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: Velež 1.4 – 0.6 Siroki Brijeg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Velež vs Siroki Brijeg?
Our pick is Velež to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Velež vs Siroki Brijeg?
On our numbers Velež have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Siroki Brijeg 20%.
How many goals will there be in Velež vs Siroki Brijeg?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Velež vs Siroki Brijeg?
Our predicted score is Velež 1–0 Siroki Brijeg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Velež vs Siroki Brijeg?
Velež vs Siroki Brijeg (Premijer Liga) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Rodeni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.