Velež host Zrinjski in the Premijer Liga on Friday 3 April, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Stadion Rodeni. Velež are 7th with 12 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Zrinjski sit 1st on 34 points (top of the table). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Velež's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Rudar Prijedor 2–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Zrinjski's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Rudar Prijedor 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.8 for Velež and 1.1 for Zrinjski. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Velež 30%, draw 25%, Zrinjski 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.20.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 2.20, above our fair price of 1.97, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Velež 1–1 Zrinjski. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Velež30%fair 3.39 · @3.10
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @2.62
Zrinjski45%fair 2.22 · @2.40
1.87Expected goals
0.79Velež xG
1.08Zrinjski xG
51%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–015%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: Velež 0.8 – 1.1 Zrinjski expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zrinjski to win✓
45%
2.22
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zrinjski / FT Zrinjski✓
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
17%
6.01
–
Form
Velež – last 6
WWWWWL
15 Mar
@ Rudar Prijedor
2–1
W
11 Mar
vs FK Sarajevo
4–1
W
6 Mar
vs Posušje
1–0
W
25 Feb
@ FK Sarajevo
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Siroki Brijeg
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Zrinjski – last 6
WLWWWW
22 Mar
vs Rudar Prijedor
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Posušje
0–1
L
11 Mar
vs GOŠK Gabela
3–2
W
8 Mar
vs Radnik Bijeljina
2–1
W
5 Mar
@ GOŠK Gabela
2–1
W
2 Mar
@ Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Velež and Zrinjski.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Velež vs Zrinjski?
On our numbers Velež have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Zrinjski 45%.
How many goals will there be in Velež vs Zrinjski?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Velež vs Zrinjski?
Our predicted score is Velež 1–1 Zrinjski, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Velež vs Zrinjski?
Velež vs Zrinjski (Premijer Liga) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Rodeni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Rudar Prijedor3