Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018% · fair 5.65
FK Sarajevo vs Velež preview and prediction
The match
The Premijer Liga sees FK Sarajevo take on Velež on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Olimpijski Stadion Asim Ferhatović Hase. FK Sarajevo are 3rd with 20 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Velež sit 7th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
FK Sarajevo's last 4: LLLW Most recently they lost to Siroki Brijeg 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Velež's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Rudar Prijedor 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Velež arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 March 2026, finished Velež 4–1 FK Sarajevo. Across their last 2 meetings FK Sarajevo have won 0, Velež 2, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for FK Sarajevo and 0.6 for Velež. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FK Sarajevo 59%, draw 26%, Velež 16%.
Safer route: FK Sarajevo or draw (84%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FK Sarajevo to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FK Sarajevo 1–0 Velež. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FK Sarajevo59%fair 1.71 · @1.75
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.00
Velež16%fair 6.33 · @4.80
2.14Expected goals
1.51FK Sarajevo xG
0.63Velež xG
48%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–013%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: FK Sarajevo 1.5 – 0.6 Velež expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is FK Sarajevo to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win FK Sarajevo vs Velež?
On our numbers FK Sarajevo have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Velež 16%.
How many goals will there be in FK Sarajevo vs Velež?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Sarajevo vs Velež?
Our predicted score is FK Sarajevo 1–0 Velež, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is FK Sarajevo vs Velež?
FK Sarajevo vs Velež (Premijer Liga) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Olimpijski Stadion Asim Ferhatović Hase.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Rudar Prijedor0