Velež vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Velež or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.21Odds
1
Value bet: Velež to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVelež to win ✓64% · @1.85
Double chanceVelež or draw ✓85% · @1.21
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20% · fair 5.13
Velež vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo preview and prediction
The match
Velež host Zeljeznicar Sarajevo in the Premijer Liga on Saturday 21 February, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadion Rodeni. Velež are 7th with 12 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Zeljeznicar Sarajevo sit 6th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Velež and 0.5 for Zeljeznicar Sarajevo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Velež 64%, draw 21%, Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 15%.
Safer route: Velež or draw (85%) at 1.21.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Velež to win at 1.85 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Velež or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.21, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Velež 1–0 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Velež64%fair 1.56 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.00
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo15%fair 6.82 · @4.00
2.06Expected goals
1.53Velež xG
0.53Zeljeznicar Sarajevo xG
49%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–015%
0–013%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Velež 1.5 – 0.5 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Velež to win✓
64%
1.56
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Velež or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.21
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.49
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.47
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Velež / FT Velež✗
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
20%
5.13
–
Form
Velež – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Siroki Brijeg
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo – last 1
L
16 Feb
vs Rudar Prijedor
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Velež and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo.
What is the prediction for Velež vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo?
Our pick is Velež or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Velež vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo?
On our numbers Velež have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 15%.
How many goals will there be in Velež vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Velež vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo?
Our predicted score is Velež 1–0 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Velež vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo?
Velež vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo (Premijer Liga) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Rodeni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Rudar Prijedor0
Posušje0