Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Velež to win @ 2.55 – our chance 44% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVelež to win ✗44% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.35
Siroki Brijeg vs Velež preview and prediction
The match
Velež travel to Stadion Pecara in the Premijer Liga on Sunday 15 February (13:00 WAT) to face Siroki Brijeg. Siroki Brijeg are 4th with 17 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Velež sit 7th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Siroki Brijeg and 1.2 for Velež. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Value angle: Velež to win at 2.55 – 44% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Siroki Brijeg 0–1 Velež. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Siroki Brijeg32%fair 3.08 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @2.85
Velež44%fair 2.28 · @2.55
2.18Expected goals
0.98Siroki Brijeg xG
1.20Velež xG
43%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Siroki Brijeg 1.0 – 1.2 Velež expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Velež to win✗
44%
2.28
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Velež / FT Velež✗
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.35
–
Form
Siroki Brijeg
No recent results on record.
Velež
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Siroki Brijeg and Velež.
What is the prediction for Siroki Brijeg vs Velež?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Siroki Brijeg vs Velež?
On our numbers Siroki Brijeg have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Velež 44%.
How many goals will there be in Siroki Brijeg vs Velež?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Siroki Brijeg vs Velež?
Our predicted score is Siroki Brijeg 0–1 Velež, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Siroki Brijeg vs Velež?
Siroki Brijeg vs Velež (Premijer Liga) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Pecara.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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