Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 10 May 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultHertha BSC to win ✓63% · @1.83

Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.42

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.12

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.10

Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth preview and prediction

The match

Hertha BSC host SpVgg Greuther Fürth in the 2. Bundesliga on Sunday 10 May, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at Olympiastadion. Hertha BSC are 1st with 31 points from 11 games (top of the table), while SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 10th on 12 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Hertha BSC's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to 1. FC Magdeburg 0–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with 1. FC Nürnberg 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Hertha BSC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.1 for Hertha BSC and 1.1 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Win chances: Hertha BSC 63%, draw 17%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.42.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Hertha BSC to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hertha BSC 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Hertha BSC63%fair 1.58 · @1.83

Draw17%fair 5.99 · @4.10

SpVgg Greuther Fürth20%fair 5.02 · @3.55

3.19Expected goals

2.12Hertha BSC xG

1.07SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG

65%Both score

64%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–110%

1–19%

2–09%

1–09%

3–17%

3–07%

From our goals model: Hertha BSC 2.1 – 1.1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Hertha BSC to win ✓	63%	1.58	1.83 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	83%	1.20	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	65%	1.53	1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	83%	1.20	1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	64%	1.57	1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	58%	1.73	1.70
Half-time result	Hertha BSC ahead at half-time ✗	46%	2.20	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Hertha BSC / FT Hertha BSC ✗	40%	2.52	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	10%	10.10	–

Form

Hertha BSC – last 6

LDWWWL

3 May	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	0–1	L
19 Apr	@ Eintracht Braunschweig	1–1	D
22 Mar	@ Fortuna Düsseldorf	5–2	W
8 Mar	@ Preußen Münster	2–1	W
1 Mar	vs 1. FC Nürnberg	2–1	W
22 Feb	@ SC Paderborn 07	2–5	L

2.0Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

SpVgg Greuther Fürth – last 6

DLWLLW

3 May	vs 1. FC Nürnberg	1–1	D
26 Apr	@ VfL Bochum	1–2	L
19 Apr	vs SV Darmstadt 98	3–2	W
5 Apr	vs SC Paderborn 07	0–2	L
20 Mar	@ Karlsruher SC	1–3	L
13 Mar	vs SV Elversberg	2–0	W

1.3Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hertha BSC	11	10	1	0	+16	31
2	1. FC Nürnberg	11	7	3	1	+13	24
3	1. FC Kaiserslautern	11	6	3	2	+3	21
4	1. FC Magdeburg	11	6	2	3	+11	20
5	VfL Wolfsburg	11	5	4	2	+10	19
6	Arminia Bielefeld	11	5	2	4	+2	17
7	1. FC Heidenheim	11	4	4	3	-1	16
8	VfL Bochum	11	4	2	5	-2	14
9	FC St. Pauli	11	2	6	3	-3	12
10	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	11	3	3	5	-6	12
11	Hannover 96	11	3	3	5	-6	12
12	Energie Cottbus	11	2	5	4	-2	11
13	Eintracht Braunschweig	11	3	2	6	-2	11
14	VfL Osnabrück	11	3	2	6	-4	11
15	Dynamo Dresden	11	3	2	6	-5	11
16	Karlsruher SC	11	3	2	6	-9	11
17	SV Darmstadt 98	11	2	3	6	-12	9
18	Holstein Kiel	11	1	5	5	-3	8

Team

Pts

+16

+13

+11

+10

-1

-2

-3

-6

-6

-2

Eintracht Braunschweig

-2

-4

-5

-9

-12

-3

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Our pick is Hertha BSC to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

On our numbers Hertha BSC have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 17% and SpVgg Greuther Fürth 20%.

How many goals will there be in Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Our predicted score is Hertha BSC 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Olympiastadion.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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