Value bet: Dynamo Dresden to win @ 2.85 – our chance 44% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDynamo Dresden to win ✗44% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.22
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Dynamo Dresden preview and prediction
The match
Dynamo Dresden travel to Merkur Spiel-Arena in the 2. Bundesliga on Friday 24 April (17:30 WAT) to face Fortuna Düsseldorf.
Form guide
Fortuna Düsseldorf's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Holstein Kiel 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Dynamo Dresden's last 4: WDWD Most recently they beat Preußen Münster 6–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dynamo Dresden arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Fortuna Düsseldorf and 1.5 for Dynamo Dresden. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fortuna Düsseldorf 35%, draw 21%, Dynamo Dresden 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Dynamo Dresden to win at 2.85 – 44% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–1 Dynamo Dresden. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fortuna Düsseldorf35%fair 2.83 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.55
Dynamo Dresden44%fair 2.27 · @2.85
2.88Expected goals
1.34Fortuna Düsseldorf xG
1.54Dynamo Dresden xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.3 – 1.5 Dynamo Dresden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dynamo Dresden to win✗
44%
2.27
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dynamo Dresden / FT Dynamo Dresden✗
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.22
–
Form
Fortuna Düsseldorf – last 6
LLLWWL
10 Apr
vs Holstein Kiel
1–2
L
4 Apr
@ 1. FC Kaiserslautern
0–3
L
22 Mar
vs Hertha BSC
2–5
L
7 Mar
@ 1. FC Nürnberg
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs VfL Bochum
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ SV Darmstadt 98
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Dynamo Dresden – last 4
WDWD
15 Mar
vs Preußen Münster
6–0
W
8 Mar
@ Karlsruher SC
3–3
D
27 Feb
vs SV Darmstadt 98
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Hannover 96
0–0
D
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fortuna Düsseldorf and Dynamo Dresden.
What is the prediction for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Dynamo Dresden?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Dynamo Dresden?
On our numbers Fortuna Düsseldorf have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dynamo Dresden 44%.
How many goals will there be in Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Dynamo Dresden?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Dynamo Dresden?
Our predicted score is Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–1 Dynamo Dresden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Dynamo Dresden?
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Dynamo Dresden (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Merkur Spiel-Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
