Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Nürnberg prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Hertha BSC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
1
Value bet: Hertha BSC to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHertha BSC to win ✓58% · @1.95
Double chanceHertha BSC or draw ✓82% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.95
Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Nürnberg preview and prediction
The match
Hertha BSC host 1. FC Nürnberg in the 2. Bundesliga on Sunday 1 March, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT) at Olympiastadion. Hertha BSC are 1st with 31 points from 11 games (top of the table), while 1. FC Nürnberg sit 2nd on 24 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Hertha BSC and 1.0 for 1. FC Nürnberg. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Hertha BSC to win at 1.95 – 58% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hertha BSC or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.28, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hertha BSC 1–0 1. FC Nürnberg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hertha BSC58%fair 1.73 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.55
1. FC Nürnberg18%fair 5.55 · @3.55
2.81Expected goals
1.86Hertha BSC xG
0.951. FC Nürnberg xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Hertha BSC 1.9 – 1.0 1. FC Nürnberg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hertha BSC to win✓
58%
1.73
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Hertha BSC or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.48
Half-time result
Hertha BSC ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hertha BSC / FT Hertha BSC✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.95
–
Form
Hertha BSC – last 2
LL
22 Feb
@ SC Paderborn 07
2–5
L
14 Feb
vs Hannover 96
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
1. FC Nürnberg – last 2
DW
20 Feb
@ VfL Bochum
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Karlsruher SC
5–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hertha BSC and 1. FC Nürnberg.
What is the prediction for Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
Our pick is Hertha BSC or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
On our numbers Hertha BSC have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and 1. FC Nürnberg 18%.
How many goals will there be in Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
Our predicted score is Hertha BSC 1–0 1. FC Nürnberg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Nürnberg (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Olympiastadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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