Value bet: VfL Bochum to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFortuna Düsseldorf to win ✓43% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.60
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs VfL Bochum preview and prediction
The match
Fortuna Düsseldorf host VfL Bochum in the 2. Bundesliga on Friday 27 February, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT) at Merkur Spiel-Arena.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Fortuna Düsseldorf and 1.2 for VfL Bochum. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 59%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: VfL Bochum to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–1 VfL Bochum. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fortuna Düsseldorf43%fair 2.32 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.30
VfL Bochum35%fair 2.86 · @3.10
2.58Expected goals
1.38Fortuna Düsseldorf xG
1.20VfL Bochum xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.4 – 1.2 VfL Bochum expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fortuna Düsseldorf to win✓
43%
2.32
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fortuna Düsseldorf / FT Fortuna Düsseldorf✓
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.60
–
Form
Fortuna Düsseldorf – last 2
LD
21 Feb
@ SV Darmstadt 98
1–2
L
13 Feb
vs Preußen Münster
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
VfL Bochum – last 2
DD
20 Feb
vs 1. FC Nürnberg
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs SC Paderborn 07
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fortuna Düsseldorf and VfL Bochum.
What is the prediction for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs VfL Bochum?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Fortuna Düsseldorf vs VfL Bochum?
On our numbers Fortuna Düsseldorf have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and VfL Bochum 35%.
How many goals will there be in Fortuna Düsseldorf vs VfL Bochum?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs VfL Bochum?
Our predicted score is Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–1 VfL Bochum, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Fortuna Düsseldorf vs VfL Bochum?
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs VfL Bochum (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Merkur Spiel-Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
