Value bet: Hertha BSC to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSC Paderborn 07 to win ✓41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.65
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hertha BSC preview and prediction
The match
The 2. Bundesliga sees SC Paderborn 07 take on Hertha BSC on Sunday 22 February, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT) at Home Deluxe Arena.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for SC Paderborn 07 and 1.3 for Hertha BSC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 61%.
Value angle: Hertha BSC to win at 3.10 – 37% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: SC Paderborn 07 1–1 Hertha BSC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SC Paderborn 0741%fair 2.46 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.50
Hertha BSC37%fair 2.73 · @3.10
2.70Expected goals
1.39SC Paderborn 07 xG
1.30Hertha BSC xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: SC Paderborn 07 1.4 – 1.3 Hertha BSC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SC Paderborn 07 to win✓
41%
2.46
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SC Paderborn 07 / FT SC Paderborn 07✓
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.65
–
Form
SC Paderborn 07 – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ VfL Bochum
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Hertha BSC – last 1
L
14 Feb
vs Hannover 96
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SC Paderborn 07 and Hertha BSC.
What is the prediction for SC Paderborn 07 vs Hertha BSC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs Hertha BSC?
On our numbers SC Paderborn 07 have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hertha BSC 37%.
How many goals will there be in SC Paderborn 07 vs Hertha BSC?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SC Paderborn 07 vs Hertha BSC?
Our predicted score is SC Paderborn 07 1–1 Hertha BSC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is SC Paderborn 07 vs Hertha BSC?
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hertha BSC (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Home Deluxe Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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