The Bundesliga sees RB Leipzig take on Union Berlin on Friday 24 April, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Red Bull Arena. RB Leipzig are 4th with 18 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Union Berlin sit 16th on 7 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
RB Leipzig's last 4: WLWD Most recently they beat 1899 Hoffenheim 5–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Union Berlin's last 4: DWLW Most recently they drew with FC St. Pauli 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for RB Leipzig and 0.8 for Union Berlin. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: RB Leipzig 70%, draw 19%, Union Berlin 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was RB Leipzig to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.41. Predicted score: RB Leipzig 2–0 Union Berlin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
RB Leipzig70%fair 1.42 · @1.41
Draw19%fair 5.39 · @4.80
Union Berlin11%fair 9.12 · @6.60
3.14Expected goals
2.32RB Leipzig xG
0.82Union Berlin xG
58%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–010%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: RB Leipzig 2.3 – 0.8 Union Berlin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
RB Leipzig to win✓
70%
1.42
1.41
Double chance
RB Leipzig or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.62
Half-time result
RB Leipzig ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT RB Leipzig / FT RB Leipzig✓
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.47
–
Form
RB Leipzig – last 4
WLWD
20 Mar
vs 1899 Hoffenheim
5–0
W
15 Mar
@ VfB Stuttgart
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Hamburger SV
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs VfL Wolfsburg
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Union Berlin – last 4
DWLW
5 Apr
vs FC St. Pauli
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ SC Freiburg
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Werder Bremen
1–4
L
21 Feb
vs Bayer Leverkusen
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between RB Leipzig and Union Berlin.
What is the prediction for RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin?
Our pick is RB Leipzig to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin?
On our numbers RB Leipzig have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Union Berlin 11%.
How many goals will there be in RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin?
Our predicted score is RB Leipzig 2–0 Union Berlin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin?
RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin (Bundesliga) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Red Bull Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
