Value bet: FC St. Pauli to win @ 4.00 – our chance 32% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBorussia Mönchengladbach to win ✓45% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.35
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC St. Pauli preview and prediction
The match
FC St. Pauli travel to Borussia-Park in the Bundesliga on Friday 13 March (20:30 WAT) to face Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 1.1 for FC St. Pauli. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Borussia Mönchengladbach 45%, draw 22%, FC St. Pauli 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.95.
Value angle: FC St. Pauli to win at 4.00 – 32% on our numbers against 25% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 FC St. Pauli. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Borussia Mönchengladbach45%fair 2.20 · @1.96
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.20
FC St. Pauli32%fair 3.08 · @4.00
2.52Expected goals
1.40Borussia Mönchengladbach xG
1.12FC St. Pauli xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.4 – 1.1 FC St. Pauli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Borussia Mönchengladbach to win✓
45%
2.20
1.96
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Borussia Mönchengladbach / FT Borussia Mönchengladbach✓
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.35
–
Form
Borussia Mönchengladbach – last 2
LL
6 Mar
@ Bayern München
1–4
L
22 Feb
@ SC Freiburg
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
FC St. Pauli – last 2
DW
8 Mar
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Werder Bremen
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Borussia Mönchengladbach and FC St. Pauli.
What is the prediction for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC St. Pauli?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC St. Pauli?
On our numbers Borussia Mönchengladbach have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC St. Pauli 32%.
How many goals will there be in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC St. Pauli?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC St. Pauli?
Our predicted score is Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 FC St. Pauli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC St. Pauli?
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC St. Pauli (Bundesliga) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Borussia-Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
