Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
1
Value bet: Hamburger SV to win @ 3.55 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRB Leipzig to win ✓49% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.65
Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig preview and prediction
The match
RB Leipzig travel to Volksparkstadion in the Bundesliga on Sunday 1 March (19:30 WAT) to face Hamburger SV. Hamburger SV are 11th with 12 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while RB Leipzig sit 4th on 18 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.3 for Hamburger SV and 1.7 for RB Leipzig. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 62%.
Value angle: Hamburger SV to win at 3.55 – 31% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Hamburger SV 1–1 RB Leipzig. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hamburger SV31%fair 3.28 · @3.55
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.65
RB Leipzig49%fair 2.03 · @1.96
3.05Expected goals
1.31Hamburger SV xG
1.74RB Leipzig xG
62%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Hamburger SV 1.3 – 1.7 RB Leipzig expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
RB Leipzig to win✓
49%
2.03
1.96
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT RB Leipzig / FT RB Leipzig✗
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.65
–
Form
Hamburger SV – last 1
D
20 Feb
@ FSV Mainz 05
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
RB Leipzig – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs VfL Wolfsburg
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hamburger SV and RB Leipzig.
What is the prediction for Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig?
On our numbers Hamburger SV have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 20% and RB Leipzig 49%.
How many goals will there be in Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig?
Our predicted score is Hamburger SV 1–1 RB Leipzig, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig?
Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Volksparkstadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
VfL Wolfsburg0