Value bet: Dravinja to win @ 2.40 – our chance 47% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDravinja to win ✓47% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓9% · fair 10.85
Jesenice vs Dravinja preview and prediction
The match
Jesenice host Dravinja in the 2. SNL on Saturday 23 May, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Jesenice are 8th with 19 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Dravinja sit 13th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Jesenice's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Slovan Ljubljana 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Dravinja's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Ilirija 2–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Dravinja arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Jesenice and 1.6 for Dravinja. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: Dravinja to win at 2.40 – 47% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Jesenice 1–1 Dravinja. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jesenice33%fair 3.06 · @2.55
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.40
Dravinja47%fair 2.15 · @2.40
2.84Expected goals
1.26Jesenice xG
1.57Dravinja xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–07%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Jesenice 1.3 – 1.6 Dravinja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dravinja to win✓
47%
2.15
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dravinja / FT Dravinja✓
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
9%
10.85
–
Form
Jesenice – last 5
LLLLW
7 May
@ Slovan Ljubljana
0–1
L
30 Apr
vs Triglav
0–3
L
15 Mar
@ Dekani
0–3
L
6 Mar
@ Ilirija
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Krško
1–0
W
0.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Dravinja – last 5
WWWLL
6 May
vs Ilirija
2–1
W
30 Apr
vs Krka
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs Slovan Ljubljana
2–1
W
16 Mar
@ Nafta
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ Tabor Sežana
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jesenice and Dravinja.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Jesenice vs Dravinja?
On our numbers Jesenice have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dravinja 47%.
How many goals will there be in Jesenice vs Dravinja?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jesenice vs Dravinja?
Our predicted score is Jesenice 1–1 Dravinja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Jesenice vs Dravinja?
Jesenice vs Dravinja (2. SNL) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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