Value bet: Gorica to win @ 2.55 – our chance 44% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGorica to win ✓44% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.86
Krka vs Gorica preview and prediction
The match
The 2. SNL sees Krka take on Gorica on Wednesday 6 May, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at Portoval.
Form guide
Krka's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Dravinja 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gorica's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Brinje-Grosuplje 0–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Krka arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.5 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Krka and 1.3 for Gorica. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Krka 34%, draw 22%, Gorica 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Gorica to win at 2.55 – 44% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Krka 1–1 Gorica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Krka34%fair 2.94 · @2.55
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.20
Gorica44%fair 2.27 · @2.55
2.47Expected goals
1.13Krka xG
1.34Gorica xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Krka 1.1 – 1.3 Gorica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gorica to win✓
44%
2.27
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gorica / FT Gorica✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.86
–
Form
Krka – last 6
LLDLDD
30 Apr
@ Dravinja
0–1
L
24 Apr
vs Ilirija
1–4
L
17 Apr
vs Rudar
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Triglav
0–2
L
27 Mar
@ Brinje-Grosuplje
0–0
D
20 Mar
vs Beltinci
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Gorica – last 3
LLL
10 Apr
@ Brinje-Grosuplje
0–1
L
3 Apr
vs Beltinci
2–3
L
29 Mar
@ Bilje
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Krka and Gorica.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Krka vs Gorica?
On our numbers Krka have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gorica 44%.
How many goals will there be in Krka vs Gorica?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Krka vs Gorica?
Our predicted score is Krka 1–1 Gorica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Krka vs Gorica?
Krka vs Gorica (2. SNL) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Portoval.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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