Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTriglav to win ✓64% · @1.30
Double chanceTriglav or draw ✓83% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Jesenice vs Triglav preview and prediction
The match
Jesenice host Triglav in the 2. SNL on Thursday 30 April, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Jesenice are 8th with 19 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Triglav sit 3rd on 31 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Jesenice's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Dekani 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Triglav's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Krško 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Triglav arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.1 for Jesenice and 2.3 for Triglav. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jesenice 17%, draw 19%, Triglav 64%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Jesenice 1–2 Triglav. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jesenice17%fair 6.03 · @8.25
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @4.75
Triglav64%fair 1.55 · @1.30
3.33Expected goals
1.07Jesenice xG
2.27Triglav xG
58%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Jesenice 1.1 – 2.3 Triglav expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Triglav to win✓
64%
1.55
1.30
Double chance
Triglav or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.65
Half-time result
Triglav ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Triglav / FT Triglav✓
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.23
–
Form
Jesenice – last 3
LLW
15 Mar
@ Dekani
0–3
L
6 Mar
@ Ilirija
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Krško
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Triglav – last 6
WWWWWD
24 Apr
vs Krško
4–0
W
3 Apr
@ Krka
2–0
W
27 Mar
vs Rudar
2–0
W
20 Mar
@ Slovan Ljubljana
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Brinje-Grosuplje
4–0
W
1 Mar
@ Beltinci
0–0
D
2.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jesenice and Triglav.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Jesenice vs Triglav?
On our numbers Jesenice have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Triglav 64%.
How many goals will there be in Jesenice vs Triglav?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jesenice vs Triglav?
Our predicted score is Jesenice 1–2 Triglav, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Jesenice vs Triglav?
Jesenice vs Triglav (2. SNL) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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