Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultParis Saint Germain to win ✓52% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.46
Lens vs Paris Saint Germain preview and prediction
The match
Paris Saint Germain travel to Stade Bollaert-Delelis in the Ligue 1 on Wednesday 13 May (20:00 WAT) to face Lens. Lens are 11th with 13 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Paris Saint Germain sit 1st on 23 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Lens's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Nantes 1–0 at home. At home they have won 5 and lost 0 of their last 5. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game.
Paris Saint Germain's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Bayern München 1–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.3 for Lens and 1.8 for Paris Saint Germain. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lens 29%, draw 19%, Paris Saint Germain 52%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.48.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Lens 1–1 Paris Saint Germain. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lens29%fair 3.48 · @3.30
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @3.85
Paris Saint Germain52%fair 1.92 · @1.97
3.10Expected goals
1.28Lens xG
1.82Paris Saint Germain xG
65%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Lens 1.3 – 1.8 Paris Saint Germain expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paris Saint Germain to win✓
52%
1.92
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.53
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.60
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paris Saint Germain / FT Paris Saint Germain✓
31%
3.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.46
–
Form
Lens – last 6
WDWWWW
8 May
vs Nantes
1–0
W
24 Apr
@ Stade Brestois 29
3–3
D
21 Apr
vs Toulouse
4–1
W
17 Apr
vs Toulouse
3–2
W
20 Mar
vs Angers
5–1
W
8 Mar
vs Metz
3–0
W
3.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Paris Saint Germain – last 6
DWWWWW
6 May
@ Bayern München
1–1
D
28 Apr
vs Bayern München
5–4
W
22 Apr
vs Nantes
3–0
W
14 Apr
@ Liverpool
2–0
W
8 Apr
vs Liverpool
2–0
W
3 Apr
vs Toulouse
3–1
W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lens and Paris Saint Germain.
What is the prediction for Lens vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Lens vs Paris Saint Germain?
On our numbers Lens have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Paris Saint Germain 52%.
How many goals will there be in Lens vs Paris Saint Germain?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lens vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our predicted score is Lens 1–1 Paris Saint Germain, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Lens vs Paris Saint Germain?
Lens vs Paris Saint Germain (Ligue 1) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
